while the site is keeping up this year, the chance of getting something even when you click the second it opens up is slim. I did that for three items just now and got waitlisted on the first two.
Yeah, but if you get in that early, there's a good chance you will still be able to buy it. Just hang out for a little bit. Happened to me yesterday and I still got the item. Once you claim it, you have 15 minutes, so if yu are near the top of the wait list, you should only have to wait about that long.