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Author Topic: This Is Fun Pt 3: This Time It's Personal! (possibly NSFW)  (Read 1227951 times)
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Harkonis
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« Reply #13960 on: October 24, 2011, 05:43:00 PM »

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 05:20:44 PM

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 24, 2011, 03:47:24 PM



Only off by one!  (x7)

Wow  not only is every number off by one they are all down by one.  The odds of hitting the lotto are insane but the odds of being one number short on every number picked has to be beyond astronomical. 

I'm pretty sure the odds of having every number 1 less are exactly the same as winning the lottery  ninja
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« Reply #13961 on: October 24, 2011, 06:56:27 PM »

Quote from: Harkonis on October 24, 2011, 05:43:00 PM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 05:20:44 PM

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 24, 2011, 03:47:24 PM

Only off by one!  (x7)

Wow  not only is every number off by one they are all down by one.  The odds of hitting the lotto are insane but the odds of being one number short on every number picked has to be beyond astronomical. 

I'm pretty sure the odds of having every number 1 less are exactly the same as winning the lottery  ninja

Technically that's not quite true. If one of your numbers is the highest possible number in the lottery, there's no way you're going to be one less than each the winning numbers. The difference is slight, but it's there. slywink
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« Reply #13962 on: October 24, 2011, 07:35:07 PM »

Quote from: TiLT on October 24, 2011, 06:56:27 PM

Quote from: Harkonis on October 24, 2011, 05:43:00 PM

I'm pretty sure the odds of having every number 1 less are exactly the same as winning the lottery  ninja

Technically that's not quite true. If one of your numbers is the highest possible number in the lottery, there's no way you're going to be one less than each the winning numbers. The difference is slight, but it's there. slywink

So the winning strategy would be to always choose the highest number possible, so you can never lose to this close call...
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« Reply #13963 on: October 24, 2011, 10:09:17 PM »

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« Reply #13964 on: October 24, 2011, 10:27:15 PM »

Quote from: Toe on October 24, 2011, 10:09:17 PM


I.....umm........guh..........huh......
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« Reply #13965 on: October 24, 2011, 10:45:19 PM »

Quote from: Harkonis on October 24, 2011, 05:43:00 PM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 05:20:44 PM

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 24, 2011, 03:47:24 PM



Only off by one!  (x7)

Wow  not only is every number off by one they are all down by one.  The odds of hitting the lotto are insane but the odds of being one number short on every number picked has to be beyond astronomical. 

I'm pretty sure the odds of having every number 1 less are exactly the same as winning the lottery  ninja

Im not a statistician but Im pretty sure they are not.  The odds are the same of them coming up randomly on any given day but the odds of both sets of numbers coming up on the same day are going to be ridiculously long.
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« Reply #13966 on: October 25, 2011, 12:12:18 AM »

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 10:45:19 PM

Quote from: Harkonis on October 24, 2011, 05:43:00 PM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 05:20:44 PM

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 24, 2011, 03:47:24 PM

Spoiler for Hiden:

Only off by one!  (x7)

Wow  not only is every number off by one they are all down by one.  The odds of hitting the lotto are insane but the odds of being one number short on every number picked has to be beyond astronomical. 

I'm pretty sure the odds of having every number 1 less are exactly the same as winning the lottery  ninja

Im not a statistician but Im pretty sure they are not.  The odds are the same of them coming up randomly on any given day but the odds of both sets of numbers coming up on the same day are going to be ridiculously long.

The odds aren't that different.  You don't need two sets of numbers to come up: you're just choosing seven numbers without choosing the highest option for any number range.

A simpler lotto comes out: choose one number from 1-10.  Odds of winning: 1 in 10.

Now you want to become an internet sensation and repeat the "every digit was one less!" scenario.  You can't choose 10, so your options are 1-9.  Your odds aren't 1 in 9, because there's still a chance of the 10 coming up.  It's like playing roulette with the "0" space added.
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« Reply #13967 on: October 25, 2011, 01:39:17 AM »

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« Reply #13968 on: October 25, 2011, 01:49:14 AM »



(click to embiggen)
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« Reply #13969 on: October 25, 2011, 01:52:35 AM »

I continue to be amazed by the kinds of shit people think up on the intarweb. 

And I fucking love naan.  But I'd be lying if I said it didn't take a second for me to make the connection.
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« Reply #13970 on: October 25, 2011, 01:54:34 AM »

Quote from: wonderpug on October 25, 2011, 12:12:18 AM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 10:45:19 PM

Quote from: Harkonis on October 24, 2011, 05:43:00 PM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 05:20:44 PM

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 24, 2011, 03:47:24 PM

Spoiler for Hiden:

Only off by one!  (x7)

Wow  not only is every number off by one they are all down by one.  The odds of hitting the lotto are insane but the odds of being one number short on every number picked has to be beyond astronomical. 

I'm pretty sure the odds of having every number 1 less are exactly the same as winning the lottery  ninja

Im not a statistician but Im pretty sure they are not.  The odds are the same of them coming up randomly on any given day but the odds of both sets of numbers coming up on the same day are going to be ridiculously long.

The odds aren't that different.  You don't need two sets of numbers to come up: you're just choosing seven numbers without choosing the highest option for any number range.

A simpler lotto comes out: choose one number from 1-10.  Odds of winning: 1 in 10.

Now you want to become an internet sensation and repeat the "every digit was one less!" scenario.  You can't choose 10, so your options are 1-9.  Your odds aren't 1 in 9, because there's still a chance of the 10 coming up.  It's like playing roulette with the "0" space added.
except for this to happen you have to not only have the 7 numbers hit but yours have to match the sequence as well.  Basically you need to match 14 numbers for this to happen, not just 7.
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wonderpug
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« Reply #13971 on: October 25, 2011, 01:58:30 AM »

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 25, 2011, 01:54:34 AM

Quote from: wonderpug on October 25, 2011, 12:12:18 AM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 10:45:19 PM

Quote from: Harkonis on October 24, 2011, 05:43:00 PM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 05:20:44 PM

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 24, 2011, 03:47:24 PM

Spoiler for Hiden:

Only off by one!  (x7)

Wow  not only is every number off by one they are all down by one.  The odds of hitting the lotto are insane but the odds of being one number short on every number picked has to be beyond astronomical. 

I'm pretty sure the odds of having every number 1 less are exactly the same as winning the lottery  ninja

Im not a statistician but Im pretty sure they are not.  The odds are the same of them coming up randomly on any given day but the odds of both sets of numbers coming up on the same day are going to be ridiculously long.

The odds aren't that different.  You don't need two sets of numbers to come up: you're just choosing seven numbers without choosing the highest option for any number range.

A simpler lotto comes out: choose one number from 1-10.  Odds of winning: 1 in 10.

Now you want to become an internet sensation and repeat the "every digit was one less!" scenario.  You can't choose 10, so your options are 1-9.  Your odds aren't 1 in 9, because there's still a chance of the 10 coming up.  It's like playing roulette with the "0" space added.
except for this to happen you have to not only have the 7 numbers hit but yours have to match the sequence as well.  Basically you need to match 14 numbers for this to happen, not just 7.
Huh?

Normal lottery: spin these seven roulette wheels and choose the right number on every wheel.
One-away scenario: spin these seven roulette wheels and choose the right number on every wheel, but you can't choose number 100 on any of them.
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« Reply #13972 on: October 25, 2011, 03:35:32 AM »

That draw was worth 24 Million Euro.

To win at that ticket you need the first five selected from 1 to 50 inclusive.
If you don't get the stars, they would have gotten ~100k Euro.
The stars are selected from 1 to 11.

Keeping in mind that each number you select in group A:
1) needs to be 1-50.
2) Does not repeat.

So your odds are:
1 in 50 on the first number
1 in 49 on the second number
1 in 48 on the third number
1 in 47 on the fourth number
1 in 46 on the fifth number.

Were you to be planning on having every number one lower, your requirement is then that you would never pick 50, and if the 1 came up, you'd lose automatically.

That loss scenario is compounded by the repeated draws, making it 1 in 50 for the first number, 1 in 49 in the second and so on. This becomes a big factor.


And group B:
1) needs to be 1-11
2) Does not repeat.

So your star odds are:
1 in 11 on the first number
1 in 10 on the second number.

While the odds may be close, remember that using a "to the power of" drastically reduces odds, even though it may seem insignificant I'd say missing every number by one is a little bit harder to do. Once again, 11 is something you'd never pick, and a drawn #1 is an instant loss, with 1 being risked in two separate draws with a 1 in 11, and then 1 in 10 chance.
« Last Edit: October 25, 2011, 03:39:05 AM by Purge » Logged

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CeeKay
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« Reply #13973 on: October 25, 2011, 03:44:09 AM »

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« Reply #13974 on: October 25, 2011, 03:52:13 AM »

Your odds are off for pool pulls. The numbers are ordered after the draw, not during.

So it's 6 of 50, 5 of 49, etc.
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« Reply #13975 on: October 25, 2011, 04:01:51 AM »

I love that there is endless hyper-intelligent banter going on about the odds of picking a series of numbers that is one lower than the result and not one of you geniuses has noticed that he was one higher than the result.  icon_smile
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« Reply #13976 on: October 25, 2011, 04:02:50 AM »

The naan, OTOH, seems to be one lower (it seems to be one naan shy of a theme).
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« Reply #13977 on: October 25, 2011, 04:05:08 AM »

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 25, 2011, 04:01:51 AM

I love that there is endless hyper-intelligent banter going on about the odds of picking a series of numbers that is one lower than the result and not one of you geniuses has noticed that he was one higher than the result.  icon_smile

Pssh! Trivial detail.  icon_wink
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« Reply #13978 on: October 25, 2011, 05:03:30 AM »

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 25, 2011, 01:54:34 AM

Quote from: wonderpug on October 25, 2011, 12:12:18 AM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 10:45:19 PM

Quote from: Harkonis on October 24, 2011, 05:43:00 PM

Quote from: rshetts2 on October 24, 2011, 05:20:44 PM

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 24, 2011, 03:47:24 PM

Spoiler for Hiden:

Only off by one!  (x7)

Wow  not only is every number off by one they are all down by one.  The odds of hitting the lotto are insane but the odds of being one number short on every number picked has to be beyond astronomical. 

I'm pretty sure the odds of having every number 1 less are exactly the same as winning the lottery  ninja

Im not a statistician but Im pretty sure they are not.  The odds are the same of them coming up randomly on any given day but the odds of both sets of numbers coming up on the same day are going to be ridiculously long.

The odds aren't that different.  You don't need two sets of numbers to come up: you're just choosing seven numbers without choosing the highest option for any number range.

A simpler lotto comes out: choose one number from 1-10.  Odds of winning: 1 in 10.

Now you want to become an internet sensation and repeat the "every digit was one less!" scenario.  You can't choose 10, so your options are 1-9.  Your odds aren't 1 in 9, because there's still a chance of the 10 coming up.  It's like playing roulette with the "0" space added.
except for this to happen you have to not only have the 7 numbers hit but yours have to match the sequence as well.  Basically you need to match 14 numbers for this to happen, not just 7.

No, your logic is faulty. Forget the original numbers. All you need to match is a series of numbers one below the original numbers. This is absolutely no different from the chance of getting the original ones, apart from the highest number problem mentioned earlier. You're creating non-existent conditions and applying them to your equation, which is confusing you (understandably I might add. This kind of stuff is tricky to master).
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« Reply #13979 on: October 25, 2011, 05:05:01 AM »

It's like every 5 pages I have to stop and remind everyone that this thread is for pictures (presumably funny pictures) so, take your match class to a different thread please smile
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« Reply #13980 on: October 25, 2011, 05:27:21 AM »

I prefer CeeKays reminder...
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« Reply #13981 on: October 25, 2011, 01:25:38 PM »

Quote from: PeteRock on October 25, 2011, 01:52:35 AM

I continue to be amazed by the kinds of shit people think up on the intarweb. 

And I fucking love naan.  But I'd be lying if I said it didn't take a second for me to make the connection.

thank you. I was not going to get there on my own.
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« Reply #13982 on: October 25, 2011, 02:36:19 PM »

Quote from: naednek on October 25, 2011, 05:05:01 AM

It's like every 5 pages I have to stop and remind everyone that this thread is for pictures (presumably funny pictures) so, take your match class to a different thread please smile

No, the crack up is that as the pissing contest is in full bore, CeeKay posts a very happy girl in slo-mo bounce mode and the "geniuses" continue their contest! Now that is entertainment!!
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« Reply #13983 on: October 25, 2011, 03:10:47 PM »

Quote from: hispanicgamer on October 25, 2011, 02:36:19 PM

Quote from: naednek on October 25, 2011, 05:05:01 AM

It's like every 5 pages I have to stop and remind everyone that this thread is for pictures (presumably funny pictures) so, take your match class to a different thread please smile

No, the crack up is that as the pissing contest is in full bore, CeeKay posts a very happy girl in slo-mo bounce mode and the "geniuses" continue their contest! Now that is entertainment!!

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« Reply #13984 on: October 25, 2011, 03:38:32 PM »

Quote from: hispanicgamer on October 25, 2011, 02:36:19 PM

Quote from: naednek on October 25, 2011, 05:05:01 AM

It's like every 5 pages I have to stop and remind everyone that this thread is for pictures (presumably funny pictures) so, take your match class to a different thread please smile

No, the crack up is that as the pissing contest is in full bore, CeeKay posts a very happy girl in slo-mo bounce mode and the "geniuses" continue their contest! Now that is entertainment!!

I'm not sure if I should laugh or cry over that...
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« Reply #13985 on: October 25, 2011, 05:00:35 PM »

Quote from: hispanicgamer on October 25, 2011, 02:36:19 PM

Quote from: naednek on October 25, 2011, 05:05:01 AM

It's like every 5 pages I have to stop and remind everyone that this thread is for pictures (presumably funny pictures) so, take your match class to a different thread please smile

No, the crack up is that as the pissing contest is in full bore, CeeKay posts a very happy girl in slo-mo bounce mode and the "geniuses" continue their contest! Now that is entertainment!!

I'm mostly gay. And that bouncy-titty girl sure got my attention. What are these math nerds going on about?  icon_smile
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« Reply #13986 on: October 25, 2011, 06:22:24 PM »

We were about to discuss the physics involved in those boobs staying retained with just two suspender straps. 
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« Reply #13987 on: October 25, 2011, 06:48:50 PM »

Quote from: wonderpug on October 25, 2011, 06:22:24 PM

We were about to discuss the physics involved in those boobs staying retained with just two suspender straps. 

improbable at best, I suspect tape.
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« Reply #13988 on: October 25, 2011, 06:53:52 PM »

Where are you guys hosting animated gifs to avoid hotlinking?
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« Reply #13989 on: October 25, 2011, 07:12:04 PM »

imgur can do it, I think.
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« Reply #13990 on: October 26, 2011, 12:49:35 AM »

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 25, 2011, 04:02:50 AM

The naan, OTOH, seems to be one lower (it seems to be one naan shy of a theme).

I thought the same thing initially and almost mentioned it, but then I noticed that the last two are stacked almost directly on top of each other, making it easy to miss one  icon_wink
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« Reply #13991 on: October 26, 2011, 01:03:59 AM »

Quote from: wonderpug on October 25, 2011, 07:12:04 PM

imgur can do it, I think.

I also use the Rehost Image add on for Firefox.
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« Reply #13992 on: October 26, 2011, 01:05:20 AM »

Quote from: disarm on October 26, 2011, 12:49:35 AM

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 25, 2011, 04:02:50 AM

The naan, OTOH, seems to be one lower (it seems to be one naan shy of a theme).

I thought the same thing initially and almost mentioned it, but then I noticed that the last two are stacked almost directly on top of each other, making it easy to miss one  icon_wink

Seems sloppy to me!  I actually noticed that, but I thought it was an error.
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« Reply #13993 on: October 26, 2011, 09:09:30 AM »

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« Reply #13994 on: October 26, 2011, 02:17:29 PM »

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« Reply #13995 on: October 26, 2011, 04:07:34 PM »

Quote from: TK-421 on October 26, 2011, 02:17:29 PM



That's one ugly motherfucker...

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« Reply #13996 on: October 26, 2011, 06:09:08 PM »

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« Reply #13997 on: October 26, 2011, 06:23:27 PM »

Quote from: TK-421 on October 26, 2011, 06:09:08 PM



that's hilarious
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« Reply #13998 on: October 26, 2011, 07:22:22 PM »

I had a squirrel do the exact same thing to me.

He didn't make it.
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« Reply #13999 on: October 26, 2011, 07:29:34 PM »

Quote from: Bullwinkle on October 26, 2011, 07:22:22 PM

I had a squirrel do the exact same thing to me.

He didn't make it.

A squirrel wearing a backpack?
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